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Highway Safety Analytics and Modeling, Second Edition comprehensively covers the key elements for effective transportation engineering and policy decisions based on highway safety data analysis in a single reference. It includes all aspects of the decision-making process, from collecting and assembling data to developing models and evaluating results. It discusses the challenges of working with crash and naturalistic data, identifies problems, and proposes well-researched methods to solve them. It examines the nuances associated with safety data analysis and shows how to best use the information to develop countermeasures, policies, and programs to reduce the frequency and severity of traffic crashes.

This thoroughly updated second edition updates the material contained in the book based on the latest advancements in highway safety research as well as feedback from readers. It includes entirely new sections on topics such as digital twins as a source of data, model validation, extreme value models, temporal instability, joint crash frequency and severity modeling, sample size, quasi-induced exposure method, autonomous vehicle safety estimate, and more.

This book serves as a valuable reference for students, researchers, and practitioners alike. It provides more examples and exercises to help in using the book for courses, and it continues to complement the Highway Safety Manual (HSM) published by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AAHSTO), thus helping in the training of engineers and practitioners to better understand the concepts and methods outlined in the forthcoming HSM.

  • Offers a better understanding of the nuances associated with safety data (such as low sample mean, small sample size, and repeated measurement)
  • Provides examples and exercises not available in research papers as well as learning aids such as online datasets and slides
  • Complements the Highway Safety Manual by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials

1. 1. Introduction - p. 1 2. Section I: Theory and background - p. S1 3. 2. Fundamentals and data collection - p. 17 4. 3. Crash–frequency modeling - p. 71 5. 4. Crash-severity modeling - p. 121 6. Section II: Highway safety analyses - p. S2 7. 5. Exploratory analyses of safety data - p. 157 8. 6. Characteristics and applications of traffic safety models - p. 197 9. 7. Before–after studies in highway safety - p. 245 10. 8. Identification of hazardous sites - p. 287 11. 9. Models for spatial data - p. 325 12. 10. Capacity, mobility, and safety - p. 363 13. Section III: Alternative safety analyses - p. S3 14. 11. Surrogate safety measures - p. 401 15. 12. Data mining and machine learning techniques - p. 435 16. Appendix A. Negative binomial regression models and estimation methods - p. 469 17. Appendix B. Summary of crash-frequency and crash-severity models in highway safety - p. 481 18. Appendix C. Computing codes - p. 509 19. Appendix D. List of exercise datasets - p. 535 20. Index - p. 537

Descripcion
Descripción

Highway Safety Analytics and Modeling, Second Edition comprehensively covers the key elements for effective transportation engineering and policy decisions based on highway safety data analysis in a single reference. It includes all aspects of the decision-making process, from collecting and assembling data to developing models and evaluating results. It discusses the challenges of working with crash and naturalistic data, identifies problems, and proposes well-researched methods to solve them. It examines the nuances associated with safety data analysis and shows how to best use the information to develop countermeasures, policies, and programs to reduce the frequency and severity of traffic crashes.

This thoroughly updated second edition updates the material contained in the book based on the latest advancements in highway safety research as well as feedback from readers. It includes entirely new sections on topics such as digital twins as a source of data, model validation, extreme value models, temporal instability, joint crash frequency and severity modeling, sample size, quasi-induced exposure method, autonomous vehicle safety estimate, and more.

This book serves as a valuable reference for students, researchers, and practitioners alike. It provides more examples and exercises to help in using the book for courses, and it continues to complement the Highway Safety Manual (HSM) published by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AAHSTO), thus helping in the training of engineers and practitioners to better understand the concepts and methods outlined in the forthcoming HSM.

  • Offers a better understanding of the nuances associated with safety data (such as low sample mean, small sample size, and repeated measurement)
  • Provides examples and exercises not available in research papers as well as learning aids such as online datasets and slides
  • Complements the Highway Safety Manual by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials

1. 1. Introduction - p. 1 2. Section I: Theory and background - p. S1 3. 2. Fundamentals and data collection - p. 17 4. 3. Crash–frequency modeling - p. 71 5. 4. Crash-severity modeling - p. 121 6. Section II: Highway safety analyses - p. S2 7. 5. Exploratory analyses of safety data - p. 157 8. 6. Characteristics and applications of traffic safety models - p. 197 9. 7. Before–after studies in highway safety - p. 245 10. 8. Identification of hazardous sites - p. 287 11. 9. Models for spatial data - p. 325 12. 10. Capacity, mobility, and safety - p. 363 13. Section III: Alternative safety analyses - p. S3 14. 11. Surrogate safety measures - p. 401 15. 12. Data mining and machine learning techniques - p. 435 16. Appendix A. Negative binomial regression models and estimation methods - p. 469 17. Appendix B. Summary of crash-frequency and crash-severity models in highway safety - p. 481 18. Appendix C. Computing codes - p. 509 19. Appendix D. List of exercise datasets - p. 535 20. Index - p. 537

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