Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure: Neodeterministic (NDSHA) Approach Guarantees Prevention Rather Than Cure communicates in one comprehensive volume the state-of-the-art scientific knowledge on earthquakes and related risks. Earthquakes occur in a seemingly random way and, in some cases, it is possible to trace seismicity back to the concept of deterministic chaos. Therefore, seismicity can be explained by a deterministic mechanism that arises as a result of various convection movements in the Earth’s mantle, expressed in the modern movement of lithospheric plates fueled by tidal forces. Consequently, to move from a perspective focused on the response to emergencies to a new perspective based on prevention and sustainability, it is necessary to follow this neodeterministic approach (NDSHA) to guarantee prevention, saving lives and infrastructure.
This book describes in a complete and consistent way an effective explanation to complex structures, systems, and components, and prescribes solutions to practical challenges. It reflects the scientific novelty and promises a feasible, workable, theoretical and applicative attitude.
Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure serves a “commentary role for developers and designers of critical infrastructure and unique installations. Commentary-like roles follow standard, where there is no standard.
Mega-installations embody/potentiate risks; nonetheless, lack a comprehensive classic standard. Every compound is unique, one of its kind, and differs from others even of similar function. There is no justification to elaborate a common standard for unique entities. On the other hand, these specific installations, for example, NPPs, Naval Ports, Suez Canal, HazMat production sites, and nuclear waste deposits, impose security and safety challenges to people and the environment. The book offers a benchmark for entrepreneurs, designers, constructors, and operators on how to compile diverse relevant information on site-effects and integrate it into the best-educated guess to keep safe and secure, people and environment.
The authors are eager to convey the entire information and explanations to our readers, without missing either accurate information or explanations. That is achieved by “miniaturization, as much is possible, not minimization.
So far, the neodeterministic method has been successfully applied in numerous metropolitan areas and regions such as Delhi (India), Beijing (China), Naples (Italy), Algiers (Algeria), Cairo (Egypt), Santiago de Cuba (Cuba), Thessaloniki (Greece), South-East Asia (2004), Tohoku, Japan (2011), Albania (2019), Bangladesh, Iran, Sumatra, Ecuador, and elsewhere. Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure includes case studies from these areas, as well as suggested applications to other seismically active areas around the globe. NDSHA approaches confirm/validate that science is looming to warn. Concurrently, leaders and practitioners have to learn to use rectified science in favor of peoples' safety. State-of-the-art science does have the know-how to reduce casualties and structural damage from potential catastrophes to a bearable incident.
1. Title of Book - p. i 2. Cover image - p. i 3. Title page - p. ii 4. Table of Contents - p. iii 5. Copyright - p. iii 6. Dedication - p. iii 7. Contributors - p. ix 8. About the editors - p. xiii 9. Preface - p. xv 10. Chapter 1. Hazard, risks, and prediction - p. 1 11. Chapter 2. Seismic hazard assessment from the perspective of disaster prevention - p. 27 12. Chapter 3. The view of a structural engineer about reliable seismic hazard assessment - p. 59 13. Chapter 4. Disaster prediction and civil preparedness - p. 77 14. Chapter 5. The integration between seismology and geodesy for intermediate-term narrow-range earthquake prediction according to NDSHA - p. 97 15. Chapter 6. Modeling the block-and-fault structure dynamics with application to studying seismicity and geodynamics - p. 113 16. Chapter 7. Morphostructural zoning for identifying earthquake-prone areas - p. 135 17. Chapter 8. Earthquake forecasting and time-dependent neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment in Italy and surroundings - p. 151 18. Chapter 9. Spreading NDSHA application from Italy to other areas - p. 175 19. Chapter 10. S-wave velocity profiling for site response evaluation in urban areas - p. 195 20. Chapter 11. A user-friendly approach to NDSHA computations - p. 215 21. Chapter 12. Recent applications of NDSHA: seismic input for high rise buildings in Egypt’s New Administrative Capital - p. 239 22. Chapter 13. Neodeterministic method to assess the seismic performance of water distribution networks - p. 255 23. Chapter 14. Seismic hazard analysis in a historical context: experience at caltrans and elsewhere - p. 267 24. Chapter 15. Where there is no science – probabilistic hazard assessment in volcanological and nuclear waste settings: facts, needs, and challenges in Italy - p. 297 25. Chapter 16. Seismic hazard and earthquake engineering for engineering community - p. 325 26. Chapter 17. Scenario-based seismic hazard analysis and its applications in the central United States - p. 349 27. Chapter 18. NDSHA achievements in Central and South-eastern Europe - p. 373 28. Chapter 19. Application of NDSHA to historical urban areas - p. 397 29. Chapter 20. Insights from neo-deterministic seismic hazard analyses in Romania - p. 415 30. Chapter 21. NDSHA in Bulgaria - p. 433 31. Chapter 22. NDSHA-based vulnerability evaluation of precode buildings in Republic of North Macedonia: novel experiences - p. 455 32. Chapter 23. Seismic characterization of Tirana–Durrës–Lezha region (northwestern Albania) and analysis effort through NSHDA method - p. 475 33. Chapter 24. Regional application of the NDSHA approach for continental seismogenic sources in the Iberian Peninsula - p. 491 34. Chapter 25. NDSHA applied to China - p. 515 35. Chapter 26. Application of neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment to India - p. 525 36. Chapter 27. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment for Pakistan - p. 543 37. Chapter 28. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment studies for Bangladesh - p. 559 38. Chapter 29. Application of NDSHA at regional and local scale in Iran - p. 583 39. Chapter 30. Application of neodeterministic seismic hazard analysis to Sumatra - p. 601 40. Author Index - p. 617 41. Subject Index - p. 637
Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure: Neodeterministic (NDSHA) Approach Guarantees Prevention Rather Than Cure communicates in one comprehensive volume the state-of-the-art scientific knowledge on earthquakes and related risks. Earthquakes occur in a seemingly random way and, in some cases, it is possible to trace seismicity back to the concept of deterministic chaos. Therefore, seismicity can be explained by a deterministic mechanism that arises as a result of various convection movements in the Earth’s mantle, expressed in the modern movement of lithospheric plates fueled by tidal forces. Consequently, to move from a perspective focused on the response to emergencies to a new perspective based on prevention and sustainability, it is necessary to follow this neodeterministic approach (NDSHA) to guarantee prevention, saving lives and infrastructure.
This book describes in a complete and consistent way an effective explanation to complex structures, systems, and components, and prescribes solutions to practical challenges. It reflects the scientific novelty and promises a feasible, workable, theoretical and applicative attitude.
Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure serves a “commentary role for developers and designers of critical infrastructure and unique installations. Commentary-like roles follow standard, where there is no standard.
Mega-installations embody/potentiate risks; nonetheless, lack a comprehensive classic standard. Every compound is unique, one of its kind, and differs from others even of similar function. There is no justification to elaborate a common standard for unique entities. On the other hand, these specific installations, for example, NPPs, Naval Ports, Suez Canal, HazMat production sites, and nuclear waste deposits, impose security and safety challenges to people and the environment. The book offers a benchmark for entrepreneurs, designers, constructors, and operators on how to compile diverse relevant information on site-effects and integrate it into the best-educated guess to keep safe and secure, people and environment.
The authors are eager to convey the entire information and explanations to our readers, without missing either accurate information or explanations. That is achieved by “miniaturization, as much is possible, not minimization.
So far, the neodeterministic method has been successfully applied in numerous metropolitan areas and regions such as Delhi (India), Beijing (China), Naples (Italy), Algiers (Algeria), Cairo (Egypt), Santiago de Cuba (Cuba), Thessaloniki (Greece), South-East Asia (2004), Tohoku, Japan (2011), Albania (2019), Bangladesh, Iran, Sumatra, Ecuador, and elsewhere. Earthquakes and Sustainable Infrastructure includes case studies from these areas, as well as suggested applications to other seismically active areas around the globe. NDSHA approaches confirm/validate that science is looming to warn. Concurrently, leaders and practitioners have to learn to use rectified science in favor of peoples' safety. State-of-the-art science does have the know-how to reduce casualties and structural damage from potential catastrophes to a bearable incident.
1. Title of Book - p. i 2. Cover image - p. i 3. Title page - p. ii 4. Table of Contents - p. iii 5. Copyright - p. iii 6. Dedication - p. iii 7. Contributors - p. ix 8. About the editors - p. xiii 9. Preface - p. xv 10. Chapter 1. Hazard, risks, and prediction - p. 1 11. Chapter 2. Seismic hazard assessment from the perspective of disaster prevention - p. 27 12. Chapter 3. The view of a structural engineer about reliable seismic hazard assessment - p. 59 13. Chapter 4. Disaster prediction and civil preparedness - p. 77 14. Chapter 5. The integration between seismology and geodesy for intermediate-term narrow-range earthquake prediction according to NDSHA - p. 97 15. Chapter 6. Modeling the block-and-fault structure dynamics with application to studying seismicity and geodynamics - p. 113 16. Chapter 7. Morphostructural zoning for identifying earthquake-prone areas - p. 135 17. Chapter 8. Earthquake forecasting and time-dependent neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment in Italy and surroundings - p. 151 18. Chapter 9. Spreading NDSHA application from Italy to other areas - p. 175 19. Chapter 10. S-wave velocity profiling for site response evaluation in urban areas - p. 195 20. Chapter 11. A user-friendly approach to NDSHA computations - p. 215 21. Chapter 12. Recent applications of NDSHA: seismic input for high rise buildings in Egypt’s New Administrative Capital - p. 239 22. Chapter 13. Neodeterministic method to assess the seismic performance of water distribution networks - p. 255 23. Chapter 14. Seismic hazard analysis in a historical context: experience at caltrans and elsewhere - p. 267 24. Chapter 15. Where there is no science – probabilistic hazard assessment in volcanological and nuclear waste settings: facts, needs, and challenges in Italy - p. 297 25. Chapter 16. Seismic hazard and earthquake engineering for engineering community - p. 325 26. Chapter 17. Scenario-based seismic hazard analysis and its applications in the central United States - p. 349 27. Chapter 18. NDSHA achievements in Central and South-eastern Europe - p. 373 28. Chapter 19. Application of NDSHA to historical urban areas - p. 397 29. Chapter 20. Insights from neo-deterministic seismic hazard analyses in Romania - p. 415 30. Chapter 21. NDSHA in Bulgaria - p. 433 31. Chapter 22. NDSHA-based vulnerability evaluation of precode buildings in Republic of North Macedonia: novel experiences - p. 455 32. Chapter 23. Seismic characterization of Tirana–Durrës–Lezha region (northwestern Albania) and analysis effort through NSHDA method - p. 475 33. Chapter 24. Regional application of the NDSHA approach for continental seismogenic sources in the Iberian Peninsula - p. 491 34. Chapter 25. NDSHA applied to China - p. 515 35. Chapter 26. Application of neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment to India - p. 525 36. Chapter 27. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment for Pakistan - p. 543 37. Chapter 28. Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment studies for Bangladesh - p. 559 38. Chapter 29. Application of NDSHA at regional and local scale in Iran - p. 583 39. Chapter 30. Application of neodeterministic seismic hazard analysis to Sumatra - p. 601 40. Author Index - p. 617 41. Subject Index - p. 637
